Statistical Analysis for the First Bundesliga in the Current Soccer Season

Holger Broich, Joachim Mester, Florian Seifriz, Zengyuan YUE

Abstract


Statistical analysis for the 153 matches of First Bundesliga, i.e. the first national soccer league in Germany, in the first 17 “playing days” (August 10, 2013 to January 29, 2014) of the current soccer season was made. Various team parameters were compared between the winning and losing teams in the 118 non-drawing matches. The results support the conclusions of our earlier analysis (Yue, Broich, & Mester, 2014) that the quality of shots, represented by the goal efficiency, defined by the number of goals divided by the number of shots, is more important than the quantity of shots for winning a soccer game. This conclusion is also confirmed by the correlation analysis based on all the 153 matches: The correlation between the number of goals and the goal efficiency is found to be much stronger than the correlation between the number of goals and the number of shots. The team parameters of the second to the fourth importance are the number of shots, the number of passes and the number of ball contacts respectively. In contrast, the distance coverage is found to be statistically not important for winning a game.

Keywords


Soccer matches; Satistical analysis; Goal efficiency; Coaching; Bundesliga

Full Text:

PDF

References


[1] Reep, C., & Benjamin, B. (1968). Skill and chance in association football. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, A, 131, 581-585.

[2] Bate, R. (1988). Football chance: Tactics and strategy. In T. Reilly, A. Lees, K. Davids, & W. J. Murphy (Eds.), Science and Football (pp. 293-301). London: E & FN Spon.

[3] Hughes, M., Robertson, K., & Nicholson, A. (1988). Comparison of patterns of play of successful and unsuccessful teams in the 1986 world cup for soccer. In T. Reilly, A. Lees, K. Davids & W. J. Murphy (Eds.), Science and football (pp. 363-367). London: E & FN Spon.

[4] Hughes, M., & Franks, I. (2005). Analysis of passing sequences, shots and goals in soccer. Journal of Sports Sciences, 23, 509-514.

[5] Lago-Ballesteros, J., Lago-Penas, C., & Rey, E. (2012). The effect of playing tactics and situational variables on achieving score-box possessions in a professional soccer team. Journal of Sports Sciences, 30, 1455-1461.

[6] Yue, Z., Broich, H., & Mester, J. (2014). Statistical analysis for the soccer matches of first Bundesliga. International Journal for Sport Science and Coaching, 9(3), 553-560.

[7] Pollard, R., Reep, C. & Hartley S. (1988). The quantitative comparison of playing styles in soccer. In T. Reilly, A. Lees, K. Davids, & W. Murphy (Eds.), Science and football (pp. 309-315). London: E & FN Spon.

[8] Pollard, R., & Reep, C. (1997). Measuring the effectiveness of playing strategies at soccer. The Statistician, 46, 541-550.

[9] Hughes, C. (1980). The football association coaching book of soccer tactics and skills. London: Queen Anne Press.

[10] Yue, Z., Broich, H., Seifriz, F., & Mester, J. (2008a). Mathematical analysis of a soccer game. Part I: Individual and collective behaviours. Studies in Applied Mathematics, 121, 223-243.

[11] Yue, Z., Broich, H., Seifriz, F., & Mester, J. (2008b). Mathematical analysis of a soccer game. Part II: Energy, spectral and correlation analyses. Studies in Applied Mathematics, 121, 245-261.

[12] Yue, Z., Broich, H., Seifriz, F., & Mester, J. (2011). Kinetic energy analysis for soccer players and soccer matches. Progress in Applied Mathematics, 1, 98-105.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3968/4886

DOI (PDF): http://dx.doi.org/10.3968/pdf_1

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c)



Share us to:   

Reminder

We are currently accepting submissions via email only.

The registration and online submission functions have been disabled.

Please send your manuscripts to pam@cscanada.net，or   pam@cscanada.org  for consideration.

We look forward to receiving your work.

 

 

 Articles published in Progress in Applied Mathematics are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY).

 ROGRESS IN APPLIED MATHEMATICS Editorial Office

Address: 1055 Rue Lucien-L'Allier, Unit #772, Montreal, QC H3G 3C4, Canada.

Telephone: 1-514-558 6138
Http://www.cscanada.net
Http://www.cscanada.org
E-mail:office@cscanada.net office@cscanada.org caooc@hotmail.com

Copyright © 2010 Canadian Research & Development Center of Sciences and Cultures